Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 23.424490 27.080037 31.031315 35.608830 40.754504 46.348649 52.878736
2025-02-09 17.222501 22.288506 28.292588 35.879129 45.150286 56.048921 69.761860
2025-02-16 13.376340 18.970593 26.106844 35.754641 48.316919 63.965969 84.758307
2025-02-23 10.699518 16.428304 24.211057 35.346477 50.621740 70.561923 98.226911
2025-03-02 8.812469 14.533591 22.753671 35.112040 52.841681 76.920778 111.557309
2025-03-09 7.366267 12.984465 21.483807 34.848592 54.804473 82.869543 124.530830
2025-03-16 5.810500 10.973664 19.208677 32.758161 53.811787 84.454542 131.357787
2025-03-23 5.209390 10.408923 19.064186 33.829269 57.502713 92.892267 148.357971
2025-03-30 4.784439 10.069829 19.218524 35.343187 61.931364 102.630631 167.758570
2025-04-06 4.053693 9.048246 18.080269 34.585089 62.648768 106.725655 178.857644
2025-04-13 3.319256 7.885437 16.531044 32.932814 61.713187 108.111941 185.779096
2025-04-20 3.143226 7.811232 16.945183 34.739171 66.659450 119.063924 208.165020
2025-04-27 3.079306 7.994590 17.922242 37.758820 74.095860 134.781431 239.484074
2025-05-04 2.738131 7.521312 17.581728 38.338686 77.373471 143.969964 260.974190
2025-05-11 2.380802 6.938941 16.938691 38.262107 79.449044 151.248283 279.712267
2025-05-18 2.047520 6.341167 16.171968 37.839668 80.817820 157.347604 296.739853
2025-05-25 1.776374 5.838979 15.534617 37.592986 82.464259 163.981685 314.962834
2025-06-01 1.541549 5.378619 14.920286 37.313973 83.998163 170.463910 333.200347
2025-06-08 1.228940 4.618674 13.485342 35.096667 81.499722 169.451887 338.170131
2025-06-15 1.138177 4.493798 13.567517 36.232971 85.832573 181.240374 366.490372
2025-06-22 1.077643 4.450038 13.846309 37.838519 91.235345 195.295802 399.512953
2025-06-29 0.918106 4.042177 13.123110 37.034612 91.516143 199.623094 414.920302
2025-07-06 0.746389 3.538845 12.057830 35.281984 89.604866 199.577462 422.171125